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Regression

An ML task that predicts a continuous number — sales, salary, temperature.

What is Regression?

Where classification predicts a category, regression predicts a number. Predicting next month's sales (₹2.4 Crore), next-quarter inventory needs (847 units), or a customer's lifetime value (₹14,200) are all regression problems.

Common algorithms: linear regression, gradient boosting (XGBoost, LightGBM), neural networks for complex patterns. Time-series regression is its own subfield with specialised methods (ARIMA, Prophet, transformer-based forecasters).

Evaluation uses different metrics than classification: **MAE** (mean absolute error), **RMSE** (root mean squared error), **MAPE** (mean absolute percentage error). Each penalises different kinds of mistakes — choose based on what matters to the business.

Why this matters

Forecasting + value prediction underpin demand planning, pricing, lifetime-value calculation. Indian retail + FMCG + finance teams hire heavily for this skill.

Real-world example (India)

A Bangalore quick-commerce app predicts demand for 8,000 SKUs in 200 dark stores 6 hours ahead, using regression on weather, time-of-day, and historical patterns. Better forecasting cut spoilage 22%.

Related terms

  • Machine Learning (ML)
  • Classification
  • Feature Engineering

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